Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 16 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)
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Tombense |
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Democrata GV |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.57 |
3.77 |
5.33 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.58 |
5.45 |
 Watch |
 |
1.57 |
3.6 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.86 |
4.96 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.71) |
3.7 ↑
(3.18) |
5.12 ↑
(4.62) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tombense
57.4% | Draw
24.7% | Democrata GV
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (+0.8%)Tombense - Democrata GV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Cesar ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 0, Donato ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 1, Cunha T. ⚽,
- 70', 3 - 1, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 2.Tombense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Democrata GV has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Democrata GV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Tombense is a strong favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 25.04.26 | Democrata GV - Tombense | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro | | | 25.01.26 | Tombense - Democrata GV | 2:0 | | 26.01.25 | Democrata GV - Tombense | 0:1 | | 07.02.24 | Democrata GV - Tombense | 2:2 | | 03.04.22 | Democrata GV - Tombense | 1:0 | | 16.02.22 | Democrata GV - Tombense | 1:0 | | 17.02.18 | Tombense - Democrata GV | 3:1 |
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