The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volta Redonda 40.3%
Draw 29.5%
Tombense 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
27.6%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
30.8%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volta Redonda's form might have worsened.
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tombense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+17%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volta Redonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tombense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Volta Redonda - Tombense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
45. Deivity (G) 13. Alan 5. Bruno Barra (C) 18. Caio Henrique 21. Du Fernandes 25. Juninho Monteiro 27. Kaua Souza 14. Rafael Castro 28. Rafael Furtado 26. Romarinho 2. Wellington Silva
1. Douglas Marques (G) 4. Diego Leandro 3. Joao Vitor 2. Julio Henrique 7. Jupi 11. Keliton 8. Matheus Chaves 9. Rubens 10. Vitinho 5. Wanderson 6. Xavier
Substitutes
19. Blanco O. 8. Dener 6. Jean Victor 29. Joao Valenca 30. Juninho Ramos 3. Lucas Adell 10. Luciano Naninho 7. Marquinhos 23. Matheus Moresche 17. Wagninho 31. Yago Oliveira (G) 16. Zuniga Y.
12. Alan (G) 13. Almeida da Silva K. D. 15. Breno Roma 20. Cesar 14. Donato 18. Dyego 17. Juanzin 19. Luiz Felipe 23. Pazetti J. (G) 16. PH 21. Silvano
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
31', Matheus Chaves ↓, Dyego ↑,
33', Julio Henrique ↓, Almeida da Silva K. D. ↑,
36', 0 - 2, Keliton ⚽,
42', Wanderson 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rubens ↓, Juanzin ↑,
46', Du Fernandes ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
46', Romarinho ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
46', Rafael Castro ↓, Wagninho ↑,
46', Vitinho ↓, Breno Roma ↑,
52', Wagninho 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Wagninho ⚽,
59', Keliton ↓, Silvano ↑,
66', Juninho Monteiro ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
71', Caio Henrique ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Luciano Naninho ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, Rafael Furtado ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 2.
Volta Redonda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tombense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Volta Redonda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Volta Redonda is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Volta Redonda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Volta Redonda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
Watch
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Deivity (G) 
Blanco O. 
Juanzin 
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