The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pouso Alegre 46.3%
Draw 28.3%
Democrata GV 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
28.6%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
27.6%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Democrata GV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Pouso Alegre - Democrata GV Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Braga (G) 3. Victao 14. Vanderley 4. Xandao (C) 6. Nunes Oliveira M. 20. Romario 5. Mage 7. Caua de Aguiar Alves M. 10. Gabriel Tota 29. Pedro Arthur 19. Nathan Palafoz
1. Thulio (C) 2. Marcos 3. Rafael Klein 4. Henrique 6. Marco Antonio 8. Bernardo 5. Luiz Henrique 10. Marcio Jonatan 7. Bryan 9. Mauricio Ferreira 27. Dudu Pedrotti
Substitutes
17. Alexandre Pena 18. De Paula 16. Enzo 30. Felipe (G) 21. Fretes T. 25. Guilherme Buscarioli 27. Jhonatan Kauan 12. Natan (G) 9. Ricardo Bueno 11. Rubim T. 15. Ryan 22. Victor Gabriel
23. Batata G. 25. Dante 16. Elton 15. Felipe Alves 12. Gabriel Pezao (G) 20. Josue 14. Leo Dourado 21. Lucas Evangelista 17. Marcelinho 19. Pedro Silva 18. Richard Luca 11. Robert
Coaches
Danilo
Wladimir Araujo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Vanderley 🟨,
32', Mage 🟨,
37', Mage ↓, Alexandre Pena ↑,
38', Pedro Arthur ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nathan Palafoz ↓, Ricardo Bueno ↑,
56', Jhonatan Kauan 🟨,
66', Dudu Pedrotti ↓, Robert ↑,
71', Henrique ↓, Leo Dourado ↑,
71', Bryan ↓, Elton ↑,
76', Caua de Aguiar Alves M. ↓, Rubim T. ↑,
79', Alexandre Pena 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Jhonatan Kauan ⚽,
85', Gabriel Tota ↓, Guilherme Buscarioli ↑,
86', Guilherme Buscarioli 🟨,
90', Marcio Jonatan ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
90', Luiz Henrique ↓, Pedro Silva ↑,
Preview
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Pouso Alegre is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pouso Alegre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Pouso Alegre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.