Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)


	Porto Vitória		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.23	3.1	3.05
	2.1	3.14	3.44
	2.1	3.27	3.27	Watch
	2.13	3.37	3.32
	2.23	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (3.01)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	3.11 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto Vitória
41.5%

Draw
29%

Noroeste
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto Vitória's performance.

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noroeste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto Vitória that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noroeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Porto Vitória - Noroeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Porto Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aydhan Martins (G) 39. Athirson 19. Didira 16. Elton 3. Ferrugem 77. Lessinho 4. Nascimento 9. Patrick 13. Taleco 6. Wilian Simoes 23. Willyan Sotto	1. Diego (G) 2. Angelo 5. Balbino 11. Caxito 10. Dudu Pedrotti 7. Juninho Potiguar 13. Lucas Neres 20. Marcelinho 3. Patrick 22. Romulo 8. Ryan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Caxito 🟨,
41', Didira 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caxito ↓, Piaui ↑,
57', Willyan Sotto 🟨,
64', Juninho Potiguar ↓, Antonio Carlos ↑,
64', Angelo ↓, Victor Salvador ↑,
65', Elton ↓, Alisson Soares ↑,
65', Willyan Sotto ↓, Hitalo ↑,
75', Victor Salvador 🟥,
76', Didira ↓, Gabriel Rossetto ↑,
76', Lessinho ↓, Jose Carlos ↑,
77', Marcelinho ↓, Willian ↑,
89', Taleco ↓, Thainler ↑,
90+1', Athirson 🟨,
90+13', 1 - 0, Wilian Simoes ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Porto Vitória won 1.

Recent matches Porto Vitória is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noroeste is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Porto Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Porto Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
23.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Porto Vitória	0:1 ✺
17.02.25	Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense	0:1 ✺
13.02.25	Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Porto Vitória - Jaguare	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLW
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
23.02.25	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Nova Venécia - Noroeste	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Noroeste - Jaguare	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Capixaba SC - Noroeste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
20.01.25	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	1:1
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
08.05.24	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	5:1
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
15.02.24	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	0:2
06.04.23	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	1:1 penalties
31.03.23	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	2:1
11.02.23	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	3:1

Porto Vitória - Noroeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide