Match Info

Cymru North - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Denbigh Town		Buckley Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.9	3.35
	1.91	3.97	3.21
	1.76	3.95	3.94	Watch
	1.73	4.26	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.66)	4.02 ↓ (4.16)	3.6 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
51.4%

Draw
23%

Buckley Town
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

21.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

21.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Buckley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Denbigh Town - Buckley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Grogan N. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Brown N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).

Denbigh Town is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buckley Town's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Buckley Town has had a series of home games.

In this match, Denbigh Town is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denbigh Town won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Denbigh Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 3.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
25.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Denbigh Town - Mold Alexandra	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Gresford Athletic - Denbigh Town	0:5 ✺
08.08.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Rhyl - Denbigh Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLW
- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
25.08.25	Buckley Town - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Buckley Town - Guilsfield	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Buckley Town - Ruthin Town	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Brickfield Rangers - Buckley Town	4:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Buckley Town - Newtown	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
01.03.25	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	0:5
21.12.24	Denbigh Town - Buckley Town	1:2
10.02.24	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	1:2
22.09.23	Denbigh Town - Buckley Town	6:5
Welsh League Cup
05.08.23	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	3:0

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