Match Info

Cymru North - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Denbigh Town		Flint Mountain

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.3	6.1
	1.34	5.87	5.95
	1.18	6.86	11.83	Watch
	1.29	5.3	7.44
	1.3	5	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	5.67 ↑ (5)	7.74 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
71.8%

Draw
16.3%

Flint Mountain
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

18.1%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

17.1%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Flint Mountain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Mountain than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Denbigh Town - Flint Mountain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Duffy S. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Dafydd G. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Vaughan A. ⚽,
71', 4 - 0, Beaumont B. ⚽,
81', 5 - 0, Worrall M. ⚽,
86', 5 - 1, Ly J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Denbigh Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flint Mountain is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Denbigh Town is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Denbigh Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Denbigh Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
05.09.25	Denbigh Town - Buckley Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Denbigh Town - Mold Alexandra	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	Gresford Athletic - Denbigh Town	0:5 ✺
08.08.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWWL
- Flint Mountain FC
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Flint Mountain - Brickfield Rangers	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Buckley Town - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Flint Mountain - Gresford Athletic	4:4 ✺
16.08.25	Newtown - Flint Mountain	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	Llandudno - Flint Mountain	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
18.02.25	Denbigh Town - Flint Mountain	0:2
06.09.24	Flint Mountain - Denbigh Town	4:4

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