Match Info

Cymru North - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Denbigh Town		Rhyl

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.45	4.55
	1.52	4.63	4.7
	1.85	3.75	3.74	Watch
	1.58	4.65	4.48
	1.5	4.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.79)	4.38 ↑ (3.81)	4.39 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denbigh Town
58%

Draw
21.1%

Rhyl
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

23.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

22.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denbigh Town's performance.

Rhyl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denbigh Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Denbigh Town - Rhyl Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Denbigh Town (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Beattie E. (Own goal),
72', Fairhurst R. (Pen),
73', 1 - 1, Brown N. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Brown N. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 7)

Denbigh Town is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rhyl has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Denbigh Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Denbigh Town is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denbigh Town won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Denbigh Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.25	Newtown - Denbigh Town	4:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
24.09.25	Porthmadog - Denbigh Town	3:2 penalties ✺
Welsh League Cup
16.09.25	Llandudno - Denbigh Town	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
12.09.25	Denbigh Town - Flint Mountain	5:1 ✺
05.09.25	Denbigh Town - Buckley Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWT
- CPD Y Rhyl 1879
Welsh Cymru North
26.09.25	Holywell Town - Rhyl	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Rhyl - Newtown	2:5 ✺
05.09.25	Ruthin Town - Rhyl	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Rhyl - Holyhead Hotspur	4:3 ✺
22.08.25	Llandudno - Rhyl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Rhyl - Denbigh Town	2:3 penalties
Welsh Cymru Alliance
05.04.19	Rhyl - Denbigh Town	5:0
14.12.18	Denbigh Town - Rhyl	0:2
18.04.18	Denbigh Town - Rhyl	1:0
Club Friendly
20.07.16	Denbigh Town - Rhyl	1:1

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