Match Info

Cymru North - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Belle Vue (Rhyl)


	Rhyl		Newtown

	1	X	2
	3.19	3.8	1.91
	2.70	3.94	2.22	Watch
	3.19	3.82	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.78)	3.85 ↓ (4.2)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhyl
30.4%

Draw
23.9%

Newtown
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

21.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

21.6%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhyl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Newtown aligns with the current prediction.

Rhyl - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Evans R. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Hollinshead T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 1 - 2, Holmes B. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Draper G. ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Torry D. ⚽,
81', 1 - 5, Hollinshead T. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 5, Lawrence B. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rhyl won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Newtown may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Newtown is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rhyl won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rhyl won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPD Y Rhyl 1879
Welsh Cymru North
05.09.25	Ruthin Town - Rhyl	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Rhyl - Holyhead Hotspur	4:3 ✺
22.08.25	Llandudno - Rhyl	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rhyl - Caersws	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Guilsfield - Rhyl	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TWLWW
- Newtown AFC
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Newtown - Bala Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Llandudno - Newtown	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Newtown - Caersws	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Newtown	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Newtown - Flint Mountain	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
08.12.18	Newtown - Rhyl	1:2
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.03.17	Rhyl - Newtown	0:2
11.02.17	Newtown - Rhyl	3:2
10.12.16	Rhyl - Newtown	1:3
17.09.16	Newtown - Rhyl	3:3
21.11.15	Rhyl - Newtown	1:1
12.09.15	Newtown - Rhyl	1:2

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