Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 30

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Dender EH		Gent

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2
	3.4	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.46	3.64	2.14
	3.25	3.64	2.13	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.1
	3.3	3.59	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)	3.52 ↓ (3.64)	2.1 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
28.3%

Draw
26.7%

Gent
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

25.8%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

25.5%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Dender EH - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Gent will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gent (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Dender EH (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Gent (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 2 - 40%). Gent (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gallon G. (G) 70. Sambu M. 5. Marijnissen L. 7. Goncalves B. 88. Ferraro F. 18. Rodes N. (C) 17. Mbamba N. 20. Hrncar D. 16. Kvet R. 24. Viltard M. 9. Toshevski D.	33. Roef D. (C) 4. Hashioka D. 57. Volckaert M. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 8. Skoras M. 27. De Vlieger T. 22. Lopes L. 20. Araujo T. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 21. Dean M. 7. Kanga W.
Substitutes
90. Berte M. 45. Daali A. 6. De Kerf B. 30. Dietsch G. (G) 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 19. Kadiri J. A. 15. Koton K. 46. Lembi E. 11. Oratmangoen R.	75. Cisse I. 35. De Meyer G. 29. Duverne J. 25. Essaouabi H. 45. Goore H. 15. Ito A. 37. Kadri A. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G)
Coaches
Ferrera Y.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Dean M. ⚽, Kanga W. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Ferraro F. ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Goore H. ↑,
61', Lopes L. ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Kadri A. ⚽, Skoras M. (A),
71', Rodes N. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
71', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
71', Hrncar D. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
79', Ferraro F. ↓, Daali A. ↑,
79', Dean M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
81', Daali A. 🟨,
83', Araujo T. 🟨,
88', Mbamba N. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Kanga W. ⚽,
90+3', Araujo T. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
90+3', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
90+4', De Vlieger T. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Dender EH is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )

Dender EH has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gent has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gent may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gent is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dender EH: Fredrick B. (Knee Injury) Verrips M. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A. (Inactive) Paskotsi M. (Muscle Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Cools K. (Inactive) Nsimba B. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.03.26	Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Dender EH - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dender EH - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLL
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.03.26	Gent - Zulte Waregem	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Genk - Gent	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Gent - Cercle Brugge	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Charleroi - Gent	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.09.25	Gent - Dender EH	3:0
12.01.25	Dender EH - Gent	0:0
04.08.24	Gent - Dender EH	1:2

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