Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 28

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza


	Dender EH		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.2
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.66	3.49	2.12
	3.53	3.48	2.07	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.05
	3.52	3.44	2.12	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.2)	3.41 (3.41)	2.11 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dender EH
27.4%

Draw
27.7%

Charleroi
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

28.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Dender EH - Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Charleroi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gallon G. (G) 70. Sambu M. 44. De Fougerolles L. 7. Goncalves B. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 18. Rodes N. (C) 17. Mbamba N. 20. Hrncar D. 16. Kvet R. 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 9. Toshevski D.	30. Kone M. (G) 24. Nzita M. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 23. Gaudin J. 22. Titraoui Y. 5. Camara E. 17. Bernier A. 8. Romsaas J. 10. Guiagon P. 21. Scheidler A.
Substitutes
23. Acquah D. 90. Berte M. 45. Daali A. 6. De Kerf B. 30. Dietsch G. (G) 19. Kadiri J. A. 15. Koton K. 11. Oratmangoen R. 24. Viltard M.	56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 45. Cisse Y. 25. Colassin A. 55. Delavallee M. (G) 50. Denuit R. 40. Khalifi Y. 14. Pflucke P. 9. Szymczak F.
Coaches
Ferrera Y.	Cornelis H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Scheidler A. ⚽, Guiagon P. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Kvet R. ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
33', De Fougerolles L. ↓, De Kerf B. ↑,
39', 2 - 1, Hrncar D. ⚽, Mbamba N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Camara E. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
62', Bernier A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
68', Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
68', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
68', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Viltard M. ↑,
75', Guiagon P. (Penalty Awarded),
78', 2 - 2, Colassin A. ⚽, Romsaas J. (A),
83', Hrncar D. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
90+2', Guiagon P. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
90+3', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
90+6', Kadiri J. A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Charleroi could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dender EH: Ferraro F. (Yellow Cards) Fredrick B. (Knee Injury) Verrips M. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Charleroi: Blum L. (Yellow Cards) Sow M. (Injury) Van Den Kerkhof K. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Nsimba B. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15:7	8	18

Last Results with these Odds

Charleroi - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 42.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.26	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dender EH - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dender EH - Genk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLL
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.26	Charleroi - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Westerlo - Charleroi	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Charleroi - Gent	2:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
11.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	4:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.26	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.08.25	Charleroi - Dender EH	3:1
26.04.25	Charleroi - Dender EH	4:1
22.04.25	Dender EH - Charleroi	2:1
01.02.25	Charleroi - Dender EH	5:0
05.10.24	Dender EH - Charleroi	1:0

Upcoming Matches