Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 29

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels)

Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN


	Saint-Gilloise		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	11	Watch
	1.28	5.35	10.5
	1.29	5.55	12.21
	1.28	5.44	11.1
	1.25	5	11
	1.3	5.51	12.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.26)	5.27 ↓ (5.49)	11.44 ↑ (11.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
73.8%

Draw
17.9%

Dender EH
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.6%

17.1%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Dender EH have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Saint Gilloise - Dender EH Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 50%). Dender EH (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Scherpen K. (G) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. (C) 26. Sykes R. 25. Khalaili A. 8. Zorgane A. 6. Van De Perre K. 11. Guilherme Smith 23. Zeneli B. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 9. Biondic M.	93. Gallon G. (G) 70. Sambu M. 5. Marijnissen L. 7. Goncalves B. 88. Ferraro F. 17. Mbamba N. 18. Rodes N. (C) 24. Viltard M. 20. Hrncar D. 9. Toshevski D. 16. Kvet R.
Substitutes
1. Chambaere V. (G) 19. Francois G. 20. Giger M. 48. Leysen F. 27. Patris L. 14. Pavlic I. 13. Rodriguez K. 17. Schoofs R. 29. Sylla M.	23. Acquah D. 45. Daali A. 6. De Kerf B. 30. Dietsch G. (G) 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 19. Kadiri J. A. 15. Koton K. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 11. Oratmangoen R.
Coaches
Hubert D.	Ferrera Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Scherpen K. ↓, Chambaere V. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Biondic M. ⚽,
63', Biondic M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
63', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
68', Hrncar D. ↓, Daali A. ↑,
76', Rodes N. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
77', Viltard M. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
78', Sambu M. 🟨,
79', Zeneli B. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Rodriguez K. ⚽,
84', Ferraro F. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
84', Mbamba N. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
86', Guilherme Smith ↓, Giger M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )

Dender EH is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )

Union SG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dender EH has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Union SG is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T. (Ankle Injury) David P. (Inactive) Florucz R. (Inactive) Niang O. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Dender EH: Fredrick B. (Knee Injury) Verrips M. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Cools K. (Inactive) De Fougerolles L. (Injury) Nsimba B. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Union SG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Royale Union SG	7	6	1	0	21:3	18	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.03.26	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
11.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWTW
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.03.26	Dender EH - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dender EH - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
14.01.26	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.09.25	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:1
01.03.25	Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH	4:1
27.07.24	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:0

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