Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday


	Dender EH		Francs Borains

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75	Watch
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.57	4.2	5	Watch
	1.53	4.34	5.91
	1.54	4.34	5.91
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.49	4.25	5.8	Watch
	1.51	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)	4.18 ↑ (3.81)	5.66 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
61.5%

Draw
22.1%

Francs Borains
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dender EH's performance.

Francs Borains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francs Borains might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dender EH that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francs Borains than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Dender EH - Francs Borains Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Francs Borains will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dender EH: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gies X. (G) 28. Marzo S. 5. Ragolle D. 21. Cools K. 3. Pupe J. 7. M'barki R. 18. Rodes N. 10. Hens L. 8. Van Oudenhove J. 77. Nsimba B. 19. Akman A.	26. Saussez A. (G) 21. Mpati Bibuangu T. 69. Obissa S. 23. Malungu L. 28. Francotte M. 15. Healy M. 10. Chaabi H. 8. Itrak M. 38. Diallo T. 25. Lavie C. 90. Kadiri J. A.
Substitutes
13. Devriendt J. (G) 88. Ferraro F. 9. Lallemand M. 16. Masangu K. 11. Rajsel N. 22. Ruyssen G. 20. Sankhon I.	16. Curci A. 40. Djoco O. (G) 18. Donnez R. 4. Gillekens J. 96. Guirassy F. 3. Konate E. 55. Massolin Y.
Coaches
Simons T.	Mercier A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14).

Recent matches Dender EH is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Francs Borains is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dender EH is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dender EH won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.11.23	Beveren - Dender EH	3:2 ✺
10.11.23	Dender EH - Brugge U23	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Deinze - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
01.11.23	Dender EH - Kortrijk	1:2 penalties ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.10.23	Beerschot Wilrijk - Dender EH	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTLW
- Francs Borains
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.11.23	Francs Borains - Deinze	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Oostende - Francs Borains	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Francs Borains - Standard Liège U23	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
31.10.23	Sint-Truidense - Francs Borains	3:0 ET ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.10.23	Beveren - Francs Borains	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
19.12.21	Francs Borains - Dender EH	1:1

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