Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Van Roy Stadium (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)


	Dender EH		RWDM Brussels

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.9
	3.6	3.5	1.78
	3.4	3.8	1.93
	3.5	3.65	1.89
	3.84	3.98	1.87
	3.8	3.6	1.78
	3.86	3.86	1.81
	3.45	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3)	3.7 ↑ (3.3)	1.85 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dender EH
25.5%

Draw
24.9%

RWDM Brussels
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.5%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.3%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

RWDM Brussels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RWDM Brussels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RWDM Brussels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	13.8%	75.9%

Dender EH - RWDM Brussels Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). RWDM Brussels will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RWDM Brussels: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Challenger Pro League (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League (Promotion Group)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

RWDM47 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dender EH won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dender EH won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.10.22	Dender EH - Brugge U23	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Anderlecht U23 - Dender EH	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Beerschot Wilrijk - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
07.10.22	Dender EH - Beveren	0:3 ✺
30.09.22	Genk U23 - Dender EH	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWTLW
- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.10.22	RWDM Brussels - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	RWDM Brussels - Beveren	3:1 ✺
14.10.22	Standard Liège U23 - RWDM Brussels	1:4 ✺
08.10.22	RWDM Brussels - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Lommel - RWDM Brussels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.08.22	RWDM Brussels - Dender EH	1:0
Belgian National Division 1
01.02.20	Dender EH - RWDM Brussels	0:1
31.08.19	RWDM Brussels - Dender EH	0:2
19.01.19	RWDM Brussels - Dender EH	2:0
20.10.18	Dender EH - RWDM Brussels	0:1

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