Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Pirard Q. (Bel)


	Genk U23		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.1
	2.95	3.6	2.2	Watch
	2.98	3.7	2.14
	3.03	3.73	2.24
	2.88	3.6	2.1
	2.95	3.64	2.15	Watch
	2.9	3.6	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 (2.93)	3.61 ↑ (3.58)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk U23
31.5%

Draw
25.6%

Dender EH
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Genk U23 - Dender EH Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Penders M. (G) 75. Caicedo A. 76. Manguelle B. 72. Ndenge Kongolo J. 65. Akpan C. 70. Bangoura I. 58. Van De Perre K. 52. Da Costa W. 68. Claes T. 59. Mirisola R. 79. Beniangba V.	1. Gies X. (G) 28. Marzo S. 22. Ruyssen G. 21. Cools K. 7. M'barki R. 11. Rajsel N. 10. Hens L. 18. Rodes N. 3. Pupe J. 19. Akman A. 77. Nsimba B.
Substitutes
63. Al Mazyani F. 57. Arabaci D. 66. Bafdili Z. 20. John K. 56. Kumata N. 64. Martens N. 74. Nuozzi C. 71. Pieklak M. (G) 80. Toure S.	23. Acquah D. 4. Borry K. 13. Devriendt J. (G) 88. Ferraro F. 9. Lallemand M. 14. Myny O. 5. Ragolle D. 6. Rowell J. 98. Soladio J.
Coaches
Coen J.	Simons T.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 7).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Genk U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dender EH will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Genk U23 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Genk U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genk U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
04.02.24	Seraing - Genk U23	1:3 ✺
27.01.24	Genk U23 - Anderlecht U23	3:0 ✺
21.01.24	Zulte Waregem - Genk U23	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Genk U23 - Deinze	3:2 ✺
16.12.23	Beveren - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTWL
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.02.24	Dender EH - Seraing	5:1 ✺
03.02.24	Lommel - Dender EH	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Dender EH - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Dender EH	2:4 ✺
15.12.23	Dender EH - RFC Liège	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.10.23	Dender EH - Genk U23	1:3
07.04.23	Genk U23 - Dender EH	0:4
31.03.23	Dender EH - Genk U23	1:0
24.01.23	Dender EH - Genk U23	0:1
30.09.22	Genk U23 - Dender EH	0:2

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