Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 7

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Deportes Concepción		Arturo Fernández Vial

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.9	3.5	3.5
	1.93	3.55	3.4
	1.93	3.55	3.4
	1.92	3.49	3.66
	1.9	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)	3.49 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
47.8%

Draw
26.1%

Arturo Fernández Vial
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

24.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Valdivia B. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Diaz C. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Lopes Acevedo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 3 - 1, Valdivia B. ⚽,
74', 3 - 2, Jerez Aguayo P. F. ⚽,
83', Patricio Jerez 🟥,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 12).

Deportes Concepción is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arturo Fernández Vial is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arturo Fernández Vial could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportes Concepción will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
06.04.24	Real San Joaquín - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
25.03.24	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Linares	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Deportes Concepción - Concón National	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWWT
- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Segunda Division
07.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Trasandino de Los Andes	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Provincial Osorno - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Provincial Ovalle	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
08.09.23	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Concepción	1:0
18.06.23	Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0
Chilean Cup
07.04.23	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Concepción	2:1 penalties
27.03.22	Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:2
Chilean Segunda Division
30.01.21	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Concepción	2:1

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