Match Info

Date: 11 October 2021, Monday


	Deportes Concepción		Colchagua

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.28	3.1	2.7
	2.22	3.2	2.7
	2.4	3.06	2.98
	2.35	3	2.88
	2.38	3.1	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 (2.32)	3.09 ↓ (3.27)	2.83 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
38.9%

Draw
29.2%

Colchagua
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

20.1%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Colchagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Concepción that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchagua than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Concepción - Colchagua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Colchagua could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Concepción won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
04.10.21	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Concepción	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Deportes Concepción - San Antonio Unido	1:1 ✺
16.09.21	General Velásquez - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
05.09.21	Deportes Concepción - Iberia Los Ángeles	0:1 ✺
23.08.21	Deportes Valdivia - Deportes Concepción	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLT
- CD Colchagua
Chilean Segunda Division
02.10.21	Colchagua - Deportes Limache	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Colchagua - Lautaro de Buin	2:0 ✺
12.09.21	Independiente de Cauquenes - Colchagua	0:2 ✺
05.09.21	Colchagua - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
23.08.21	Deportes Recoleta - Colchagua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
10.08.21	Colchagua - Deportes Concepción	0:1
29.12.20	Deportes Concepción - Colchagua	2:1

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