Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday


	General Velásquez		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.35	3.4	2.65
	2.39	3.43	2.67
	2.2	3.5	2.75
	2.37	3.46	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)	3.42 ↓ (3.54)	2.68 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Velásquez
39.3%

Draw
26.7%

Deportes Concepción
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Velásquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

General Velásquez - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Alegria J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Ramirez R. ⚽,
81', 🟥,
87', 2 - 1, Serrano K. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches General Velásquez won 1.

General Velásquez is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportes Concepción is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

General Velásquez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches General Velásquez won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams General Velásquez won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Velásquez
Chilean Segunda Division
10.05.24	Concón National - General Velásquez	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - General Velásquez	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	General Velásquez - Lautaro de Buin	6:2 ✺
20.04.24	Deportes Linares - General Velásquez	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	General Velásquez - Provincial Ovalle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWW
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Segunda Division
11.05.24	Deportes Concepción - Lautaro de Buin	4:0 ✺
05.05.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Melipilla	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
09.07.23	Deportes Concepción - General Velásquez	2:1
26.02.23	General Velásquez - Deportes Concepción	1:1
07.09.22	Deportes Concepción - General Velásquez	1:2
08.05.22	General Velásquez - Deportes Concepción	1:1
16.09.21	General Velásquez - Deportes Concepción	0:1
06.06.21	Deportes Concepción - General Velásquez	1:1
13.12.20	General Velásquez - Deportes Concepción	2:1

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