Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla (Copiapó)


	Deportes Copiapó		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	1.93	3.14	3.92
	1.96	3.26	3.97	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	1.92	3.1	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.95)	3.1 ↓ (3.22)	3.9 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Copiapó
47.1%

Draw
29.5%

Deportes Recoleta
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

29.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Temperini N. (G) 4. Ortiz A. 5. Torres F. 15. Santander J. 20. Filla M. 23. Rojas M. 6. Zamorano C. 10. Ledezma I. 8. Rios A. 7. Ross C. 27. Lopez M.	23. Salazar A. (G) 3. Arismendy N. 16. Viveros B. 28. Rodriguez C. 5. Alarcon F. (C) 7. Provoste B. 10. Arguinarena M. 15. Baez F. 9. Estigarribia G. 19. Sanchez P. 21. Alvarez G.
Substitutes
21. Fernandez E. 18. Kimura N. 1. Leyton R. (G) 24. Orellana R. 11. Ortiz J. 26. Perez G.	17. Carvajal N. 18. Cepeda C. 6. Espinoza J. 20. Gonzalez C. 22. Vargas J. (G) 11. Viveros D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', Ortiz A. 🟨,
4', 0 - 1, Baez F. ⚽,
8', Alarcon F. 🟨,
11', 1 - 1, Rios A. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 2 - 3, Alvarez G. ⚽,
64', Rodriguez C. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
69', Sanchez P. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
69', Arismendy N. ↓, Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↑,
71', Rojas M. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
73', 🟨,
76', Baez F. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
76', Alvarez G. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
86', 2 - 4, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
90', Ledezma I. ↓, Espinoza Olave S. A. ↑,
90+1', Zamorano C. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Copiapó is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Copiapó won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Recoleta	26	11	8	7	38:34	4	41
8	Copiapo	26	10	7	9	40:39	1	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.03.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Copiapó	2:2 ✺
09.03.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Temuco	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Deportes Copiapó - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTTW
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
21.03.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Recoleta	2:4 ✺
13.03.26	Deportes Recoleta - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Recoleta	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	Deportes Recoleta - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Recoleta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
04.10.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Copiapó	0:1
24.05.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	3:0
29.08.22	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	3:2
15.04.22	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Copiapó	3:1

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