Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 1

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso)


	Santiago Wanderers		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.25	3
	2.22	3.32	3
	2.22	3.48	3.01	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.25	3.55	2.93
	2.22	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.75)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)	2.99 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
41.5%

Draw
27.7%

Deportes Recoleta
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.

Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Recoleta (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olivares R. (G) 4. Espinoza V. 7. Herrera A. 16. Navarro P. 18. Felipe S. 5. Navarro L. 8. Silva J. 9. Camarda M. 10. Luna J. 14. Ponce C. 30. Luco E.	22. Vargas J. (G) 4. Tomarelli F. 11. Viveros D. 16. Viveros B. 7. Provoste B. 15. Baez F. 17. Carvajal N. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 19. Sanchez P. 20. Gonzalez C. 21. Alvarez G.
Substitutes
26. Astroza Zambrano C. A. 20. Avendano L. 17. Caceres C. 11. Lobos F. 36. Martinez B. (G) 6. Parra R. 15. Villarroel M.	3. Arismendy N. 18. Cepeda C. 6. Espinoza J. 26. Fuentes B. 24. Parada I. 23. Salazar A. (G) 12. Sapiain J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Carvajal N. 🟨,
28', Felipe S. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Tomarelli F. ⚽,
41', Alvarez G. 🟨,
42', Navarro L. 🟨,
45+5', Tomarelli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Navarro L. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
58', Ponce C. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Sanchez P. ⚽,
66', Provoste B. 🟨,
69', Villarroel M. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', Luna J. 🟥,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 0.

Santiago Wanderers could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Wanderers	26	12	8	6	41:28	13	44
6	Recoleta	26	11	8	7	38:34	4	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Cup
07.02.26	Santiago Wanderers - Unión San Felipe	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
23.11.25	Cobreloa - Santiago Wanderers	3:2 penalties ✺
19.11.25	Santiago Wanderers - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.11.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLTL
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Cup
08.02.26	Unión Española - Deportes Recoleta	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Deportes Recoleta - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.10.25	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Recoleta	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Deportes Recoleta - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Deportes Recoleta - Rangers de Talca	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.08.25	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers	1:1
18.04.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Recoleta	1:1
16.07.24	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Recoleta	1:1
25.02.24	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers	3:1
22.07.23	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers	4:1
04.03.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Recoleta	1:1
25.09.22	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Recoleta	0:0

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