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Current Win Probability
San Luis de Quillota 40.4%
Draw 31.3%
Deportes Copiapó 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
28.9%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
28.3%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Luis de Quillota's performance.
Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Copiapó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Luis de Quillota that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Copiapó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Copiapó Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Peranic N. (C) 3. Meza I. 13. Munoz Alister N. 18. Avello G. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 5. Torres J. 22. Bustos G. 34. Catalan D. 10. Parada S. 21. Pastenes F. 31. Pinilla Y.
22. Temperini N. (G) 3. Suarez N. 4. Ortiz A. 5. Torres F. (C) 15. Santander J. 17. Kimura N. 8. Rios A. 6. Zamorano C. 21. Fernandez E. 9. Palacios L. 23. Rojas M.
Substitutes
12. Abarzua F. (G) 19. Gonzalez D. 20. Hormazabal C. 9. Madrigal G. 6. Munoz L. 24. Saavedra M. 7. Vergara S.
10. Ledezma I. 1. Leyton R. (G) 27. Lopez M. 26. Perez G. 7. Ross C. 19. Soza Quezada C. 18. Valladares J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Palacios L. ⚽,
17', Catalan D. ↓, Vergara S. ↑,
24', Meza I. 🟨,
41', Zamorano C. 🟨,
45+1', Vergara S. 🟨,
45+1', Kimura N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pinilla Y. ↓, Madrigal G. ↑,
51', Torres F. 🟨,
51', Madrigal G. 🟨,
57', Ortiz A. 🟨,
63', Santander J. ↓, Valladares J. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Meza I. ⚽,
72', Rojas M. ↓, Ross C. ↑,
72', Zamorano C. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
72', Rios A. ↓, Ledezma I. ↑,
74', Parada S. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
80', Torres J. 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
89', Palacios L. ↓, Soza Quezada C. ↑,
90+3', Temperini N. 🟨,
90+8', Pastenes F. ↓, Saavedra M. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 2, Bustos G. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 0.
San Luis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Copiapó has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, San Luis won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Luis
26
13
8
5
41:29
12
47
8
Copiapo
26
10
7
9
40:39
1
37
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Copiapó - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.