The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rangers de Talca 36.9%
Draw 31.6%
Deportes Recoleta 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
28.2%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
28.7%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rangers de Talca's form might have worsened.
Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rangers de Talca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-4%)
Rangers de Talca - Deportes Recoleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 4. Navarrete J. 5. Silva D. 14. Acuna S. (C) 13. Mora A. 16. Araya J. 18. Rodriguez A. 20. Moya G. 19. Gonzalez D. 26. Herrera J. 7. Ibanez I.
22. Vargas J. (G) 11. Viveros D. 5. Alarcon F. 16. Viveros B. 14. Lara I. 7. Provoste B. 6. Espinoza J. 21. Alvarez G. 20. Gonzalez C. 19. Sanchez P. 9. Estigarribia G. (C)
Substitutes
25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 8. Marquez A. 32. Obrador R. 22. Plaza D. 27. Servetti C. 3. Vasquez K. 11. Vicuna M.
10. Arguinarena M. 3. Arismendy N. 15. Baez F. 17. Carvajal N. 24. Parada I. 18. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 23. Salazar A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Alvarez G. ⚽,
14', Alarcon F. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Lara I. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, Mora A. ⚽,
43', Gonzalez C. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Estigarribia G. 🟨,
60', 2 - 3, Sanchez P. ⚽,
63', Alvarez G. 🟨,
71', Navarrete J. ↓, Vasquez K. ↑,
71', Araya J. ↓, Marquez A. ↑,
71', Herrera J. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
75', Provoste B. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
75', Sanchez P. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
76', Alvarez G. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
81', Vasquez K. 🟨,
83', Rodriguez A. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
90', 2 - 4, Baez F. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Estigarribia G. ↓, Parada I. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 2.
Rangers is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Recoleta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rangers won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
Watch
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Campestrini C. (G) 
Navarrete J. 
Gonzalez D. 
Obrador R. 
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