Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 21

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla (Copiapó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Copiapó		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.05	3.11	3.67
	2.22	3.13	3.34	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2.05	3.05	3.53
	2.03	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.08)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Copiapó
44.1%

Draw
29.7%

Curicó Unido
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Temperini N. (G) 21. Fernandez E. 20. Filla M. 31. Fuenzalida I. 27. Lopez M. 4. Ortiz A. 9. Palacios L. 8. Rios A. 7. Ross C. (C) 29. Sanchez S. 3. Suarez N.	22. Tello D. (G) 27. Alfaro J. 9. Benegas L. 13. Bustamante C. 4. Colombo R. 19. de La Fuente R. (C) 37. Guzman R. 14. Medina C. 40. Oliver F. 21. Ormeno E. 15. Sanhueza H.
Substitutes
28. Espoz F. 17. Kimura N. 10. Ledezma I. 1. Leyton R. (G) 24. Orellana R. 26. Perez G. 15. Santander J.	11. Aliaga I. 39. Gomez J. P. 17. Inostroza B. 10. Retamales J. 8. Romo J. 3. Sarria G. 1. Vergara T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
16', Filla M. 🟨,
16', de La Fuente R. 🟨,
19', Benegas L. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
30', Guzman R. 🟨,
39', de La Fuente R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alfaro J. ↓, Gomez J. P. ↑,
62', Filla M. ↓, Kimura N. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Palacios L. ⚽,
69', Ormeno E. 🟨,
70', Ross C. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,
72', Bustamante C. 🟥,
73', Colombo R. ↓, Sarria G. ↑,
73', Ormeno E. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Kimura N. ⚽,
80', Fuenzalida I. ↓, Espoz F. ↑,
80', Palacios L. ↓, Ledezma I. ↑,
87', Medina C. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
90+2', Retamales J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Copiapó could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Copiapó won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Copiapo	26	10	7	9	40:39	1	37
13	Curico Unido	26	6	9	11	22:39	-17	24

Last Results with these Odds

Curicó Unido - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.91%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.08.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Copiapó	4:0 ✺
09.08.26	Deportes Copiapó - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Copiapó	1:4 ✺
26.07.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Copiapó	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.07.26	Deportes Copiapó - Everton de Viña	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWTL
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
04.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Curicó Unido	1:3 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.08.26	Curicó Unido - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Curicó Unido - San Luis de Quillota	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.03.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
20.07.25	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	1:1
02.03.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
06.08.23	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	1:1
16.02.23	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:2
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.04.17	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	0:0
02.10.16	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:0

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