The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Copiapó 41.8%
Draw 27.9%
San Luis de Quillota 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
28.5%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
30.4%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Deportes Copiapó - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Temperini N. (G) 3. Suarez N. 4. Ortiz A. 6. Zamorano C. 7. Ross C. 8. Rios A. 9. Palacios L. 20. Filla M. 27. Lopez M. 28. Espoz F. 29. Sanchez S.
12. Abarzua F. (G) 3. Meza I. 4. Duran V. 5. Torres J. 9. Madrigal G. 10. Parada S. (C) 13. Munoz Alister N. 17. Juarez F. 18. Avello G. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 34. Catalan D.
Substitutes
21. Fernandez E. 18. Kimura N. 1. Leyton R. (G) 24. Orellana R. 26. Perez G. 23. Rojas M. 15. Santander J.
22. Bustos G. 23. Charpentier T. (G) 19. Gonzalez D. 21. Pastenes F. 7. Vergara S. 32. Villegas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Madrigal G. ⚽,
43', Catalan D. 🟨,
45+6', Parada S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Espoz F. ↓, Santander J. ↑,
50', Madrigal G. 🟨,
54', Rios A. 🟨,
57', Ortiz A. 🟨,
57', Zamorano C. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
65', Juarez F. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
65', Madrigal G. ↓, Pastenes F. ↑,
68', Suarez N. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,
74', Torres J. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
79', Ross C. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
79', Rios A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
87', Parada S. ↓, Villegas A. ↑,
87', Pastenes F. ↓, Valenzuela J. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 2.
Copiapó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, San Luis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Copiapó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Copiapó has had a series of away games.
Copiapó could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Copiapó won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Luis
26
13
8
5
41:29
12
47
8
Copiapo
26
10
7
9
40:39
1
37
Last Results with these Odds
San Luis de Quillota - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.45%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.