The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curicó Unido 41%
Draw 29.3%
San Luis de Quillota 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
28.6%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
28.6%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Curicó Unido - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 2 - 50%). San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (G) 3. Sarria G. 14. Medina C. 15. Sanhueza H. 21. Ormeno E. 37. Guzman R. 40. Oliver F. 10. Retamales J. 17. Inostroza B. 7. Fernandez N. 9. Benegas L.
12. Abarzua F. (G) 3. Meza I. 4. Duran V. 13. Munoz Alister N. 16. Zamorano D. 18. Avello G. 21. Pastenes F. 34. Catalan D. 17. Juarez F. 10. Parada S. (C) 19. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
27. Alfaro J. 13. Bustamante C. 39. Gomez J. P. 43. Gutierrez F. 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E. 8. Romo J. 1. Vergara T. (G)
24. Castro J. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 9. Madrigal G. 5. Torres J. 7. Vergara S. 32. Villegas A. 29. Yanez T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Sarria G. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Retamales J. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
51', Inostroza B. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Parada S. ⚽,
63', Fernandez N. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
64', Inostroza B. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
64', Gonzalez D. ↓, Vergara S. ↑,
69', Vergara S. 🟨,
69', Catalan D. 🟨,
70', Juarez F. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
75', Ormeno E. ↓, Ramirez Cuevas A. E. ↑,
75', Medina C. ↓, Gomez J. P. ↑,
82', Parada S. ↓, Madrigal G. ↑,
82', Pastenes F. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Bustamante C. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Curicó Unido is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Luis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Curicó Unido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Curicó Unido is the team to beat.
We predict that Curicó Unido will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Luis
26
13
8
5
41:29
12
47
13
Curico Unido
26
6
9
11
22:39
-17
24
Last Results with these Odds
San Luis de Quillota - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 32.72%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.