Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 5

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández (Quillota)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	San Luis de Quillota		Everton de Viña

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.20	3.20	2.00
	3.35	3.25	2.05
	3.43	3.47	2.07
	3.42	3.49	2.04	Watch
	3.35	3.4	1.99
	3.44	3.23	2.14
	3.3	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.05 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Luis de Quillota
27.4%

Draw
27.9%

Everton de Viña
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

26.8%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

24.5%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Everton de Viña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

San Luis de Quillota - Everton de Viña Predictions

Users Predictions: Everton de Viña will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Abarzua F. (G) 3. Meza I. 6. Munoz L. 32. Villegas A. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 17. Juarez F. 13. Munoz Alister N. 5. Torres J. 21. Pastenes F. 9. Madrigal G. 10. Parada S. (C)	1. Gonzalez I. (G) 14. Baeza N. 4. Magallanes H. 5. Gonzalez R. 26. Hernandez J. 7. Moya J. 21. Berrios B. (C) 29. Martinez B. 10. Medina A. 9. Alfaro J. 40. Montiel N.
Substitutes
8. Acosta C. 22. Bustos G. 24. Castro J. 34. Catalan D. 4. Duran V. 19. Gonzalez D. 25. Millan P. 40. Velozo K. 37. Yanez D.	13. Arroyo A. 15. Fernandez V. 25. Kirkman E. (G) 28. Leon A. 30. Palacios C. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 16. Rebolledo R. 35. Soto L. 37. Vidal V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Madrigal G. ⚽, Parada S. (A),
39', Munoz Alister N. 🟨,
39', Martinez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Martinez B. ↓, Ramos Aviles E. M. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Alfaro J. ⚽, Medina A. (A),
54', Villegas A. ↓, Duran V. ↑,
63', Munoz L. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
63', Juarez F. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
65', Montiel N. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
65', Baeza N. ↓, Soto L. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Alfaro J. ⚽, Ramos Aviles E. M. (A),
73', 2 - 2, Madrigal G. ⚽,
76', Hernandez J. ↓, Rebolledo R. ↑,
82', Parada S. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
82', Madrigal G. ↓, Velozo K. ↑,
83', Duran V. 🟨,
84', Magallanes H. 🟨,
87', Alfaro J. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by San Luis have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Everton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Everton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Everton has had a series of home games.

Everton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, San Luis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Everton de Viña - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.05%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Luis de Quillota
Chilean Cup
27.06.26	Universidad Católica - San Luis de Quillota	4:2 ✺
20.06.26	Everton de Viña - San Luis de Quillota	2:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.06.26	San Luis de Quillota - San Marcos de Arica	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis de Quillota	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWTW
- Everton de Viña
Chilean Cup
30.06.26	Universidad Católica - Everton de Viña	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes Copiapó	3:0 ✺
23.06.26	Everton de Viña - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Everton de Viña - San Luis de Quillota	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Everton de Viña - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
20.06.26	Everton de Viña - San Luis de Quillota	2:2
21.03.25	San Luis de Quillota - Everton de Viña	3:2
08.02.25	Everton de Viña - San Luis de Quillota	1:0
19.06.24	San Luis de Quillota - Everton de Viña	0:2

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