The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Copiapó 48.7%
Draw 27.6%
Universidad de Concepción 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
31.6%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
30.1%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Copiapó's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Copiapó that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Deportes Copiapó - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Fierro J. (G) 3. Salomon C. 5. Torres F. 20. Filla M. 6. Zamorano C. 14. Jones T. 28. Rios A. 32. Rozas I. 11. Egana K. 9. Gallegos Panozzo M. 24. Orellana R.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 14. Medina C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 18. Ubal B. 10. Fuentealba J. 16. Ogaz B. 22. Rojas L. 7. Molina S. 9. Levato M. 11. Gonzalez I.
Substitutes
18. Acosta B. 8. Coronel J. 22. Espinoza N. (G) 19. Espinoza Olave S. A. 31. Lopez M. 4. Ortiz A. 7. Ross C.
6. Cordero R. 28. Herrera I. 3. Meza I. 8. Romo J. 30. Saez B. 25. Salgado H. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Rojas L. ⚽,
33', Orellana R. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
34', Levato M. 🟨,
39', Zamorano C. 🟨,
41', Filla M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rozas I. ↓, Ross C. ↑,
59', Jones T. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Fuentealba J. ⚽,
63', Zamorano C. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
63', Rios A. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
66', Coronel J. 🟨,
67', Ogaz B. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
67', Levato M. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
69', Jones T. 🟨,
73', Rojas L. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
76', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
82', Torres F. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
83', Molina S. ↓, Herrera I. ↑,
83', Gonzalez O. ↓, Meza I. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Herrera I. (Pen),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 2.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Copiapó will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Copiapó won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Concepción - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.