The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Antofagasta 34.2%
Draw 29.4%
Universidad de Concepción 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
28.3%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
27.9%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Antofagasta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 3. Maluenda M. 5. Astorga R. 16. Viveros B. 33. Abuhadba Z. 15. Baez F. 21. Manzano F. 26. Hinojosa S. 17. Nieto B. 18. Salas C. 32. Figueroa T.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 14. Medina C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 18. Ubal B. 10. Fuentealba J. 16. Ogaz B. 9. Levato M. 11. Gonzalez I. 22. Rojas L. 25. Salgado H.
Substitutes
24. Alvarez F. 1. Cisternas J. (G) 31. Contreras M. 20. Cuadra A. 23. Fredes M. 19. Larenas M. 14. Sanchez M.
28. Herrera I. 3. Meza I. 7. Molina S. 5. Mussis F. 8. Romo J. 30. Saez B. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Baez F. 🟨,
31', Figueroa T. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Salas C. ⚽,
44', Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 🟨,
45+5', Gonzalez I. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Ubal B. 🟨,
60', Gonzalez I. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
60', Ogaz B. ↓, Mussis F. ↑,
66', Salas C. ↓, Fredes M. ↑,
67', Baez F. ↓, Cuadra A. ↑,
68', Nieto B. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
71', Levato M. ↓, Herrera I. ↑,
71', Medina C. ↓, Saez B. ↑,
73', Salgado H. 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Cuadra A. ⚽,
83', Fuentealba J. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
84', Hurtado Perez F. 🟨,
88', Sanchez M. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Alvarez F. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 4.
Antofagasta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni de Concepción is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Uni de Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Antofagasta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Antofagasta - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.37%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Universidad de Concepción - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.35%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Hurtado Perez F. (C) 
Abuhadba Z. 
Figueroa T. 
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