Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 10

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Dittborn (Arica)


	San Marcos de Arica		Barnechea

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.3	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.27	3.5	2.94
	2.28	3.5	2.94
	2	3.5	3.2
	2.28	3.25	2.98
	2.14	3.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.13)	3.4 ↑ (3.24)	2.97 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos de Arica
41.9%

Draw
27.1%

Barnechea
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Abarca C. (G) 8. Barrios A. (C) 3. Viveros B. 2. Vicencio D. 13. Piriz F. 27. Gonzalez J. 19. Rosales F. 10. Arguinarena M. 23. Araya B. 9. Riquelme E. 21. Camarda M.	17. Campestrini C. (G) 6. Alucema G. 18. Ubal B. 5. Valdez B. 4. Bravo D. 15. Toledo A. 19. Llanten M. 10. Sagredo B. (C) 20. Tapia Paez G. 9. Gallegos Panozzo M. 14. Salgado H.
Substitutes
7. Cisterna J. 22. Donadell N. 15. Medina G. 28. Perez S. 6. Rojo H. 12. Tapia B. (G)	3. Ortiz A. 21. Pardo C. 7. Quiroga L. 22. Romo J. 11. Salaberry S. 12. Salas S. (G) 25. Salomon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Llanten M. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Sagredo B. ⚽,
34', Piriz F. ↓, Rojo H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Rosales F. ↓, Cisterna J. ↑,
46', Riquelme E. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
60', Toledo A. ↓, Pardo C. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Alucema G. ⚽,
72', 0 - 3, Pardo C. ⚽,
74', Llanten M. ↓, Salomon C. ↑,
81', Araya B. 🟨,
86', Bravo D. 🟨,
88', 1 - 3, Perez S. ⚽,
89', Cisterna J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 4, Romo J. ⚽,
90+3', Romo J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

San Marcos de Arica will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marcos de Arica
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.04.24	Deportes Magallanes - San Marcos de Arica	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	San Marcos de Arica - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportes Recoleta - San Marcos de Arica	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Santa Cruz	3:4 ✺
24.03.24	Deportes Antofagasta - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWLL
- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.04.24	Barnechea - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Santiago Wanderers - Barnechea	1:1 ✺
08.04.24	Barnechea - San Luis de Quillota	2:3 ✺
01.04.24	Santiago Morning - Barnechea	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Deportes La Serena - Barnechea	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.10.23	Barnechea - San Marcos de Arica	3:3
01.06.23	San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea	3:1
27.10.21	Barnechea - San Marcos de Arica	1:1
25.07.21	San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea	2:1
29.12.20	San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea	1:0
09.09.20	Barnechea - San Marcos de Arica	2:1
24.10.18	San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea	0:0

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