Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 18

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday


	Barnechea		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.87
	2.2	3.15	3.15
	2.23	3.19	3.16
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.22	3.24	3.06	Watch
	2.23	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnechea
41.3%

Draw
28.8%

Cobreloa
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Barnechea - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barnechea will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salazar A. (G) 5. Incorvaia L. 6. Alucema G. 25. Cubillos G. 26. Ulloa D. 8. Romo J. 10. Smith I. 14. Moya G. 18. Sagredo B. 7. Bravo C. (C) 16. Gallegos Panozzo M.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (C) 4. San Juan B. 6. Palma N. 21. Hernandez R. 24. Garcia L. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 7. Insaurralde C. 20. Villagran 34. Melendez J. 29. Gotti G. 37. Valdes B.
Substitutes
20. Carvajal E. 15. Finch C. 28. Herrera I. 21. Marin C. 9. Ponce C. 12. Salas S. (G) 23. Visaguirre M.	23. Ballini M. 11. Gauna N. A. 5. Gonzalez R. 17. Harbottle K. 14. Orrego N. 12. Pinto A. (G) 47. Roco T.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cobreloa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnechea won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.07.23	Unión San Felipe - Barnechea	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
30.06.23	Unión Española - Barnechea	2:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.06.23	Barnechea - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
01.06.23	San Marcos de Arica - Barnechea	3:1 ✺
27.05.23	Barnechea - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTLW
- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.07.23	Deportes Antofagasta - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
01.07.23	Cobreloa - San Marcos de Arica	1:0 penalties ✺
25.06.23	Cobreloa - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.06.23	San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Cobreloa - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.02.23	Cobreloa - Barnechea	0:1
07.09.22	Barnechea - Cobreloa	0:1
20.04.22	Cobreloa - Barnechea	3:2
24.08.21	Barnechea - Cobreloa	1:1
04.04.21	Cobreloa - Barnechea	1:2
21.11.20	Cobreloa - Barnechea	2:0
07.03.20	Barnechea - Cobreloa	2:2

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