Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 24

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Santiago Wanderers		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.18	3.25	3
	2.28	3.4	2.73
	2.14	3.62	3.06	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.7
	2.26	3.34	2.8
	2.14	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.05)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	2.86 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
41.2%

Draw
27.1%

Deportes Iquique
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 24. Dubo A. 8. Silva J. 15. Villarroel M. 38. Portilla D. 14. Ponce C. 9. Camarda M. 32. Vargas V.	12. Castillo D. (G) 5. Concha V. 21. Espinoza F. 26. Ledesma F. 8. Venezia A. 18. Garrido B. 20. Orellana D. 23. Pereyra J. 7. Jones T. 24. Barrera B. 11. Ramos A. (C)
Substitutes
35. Avello F. (G) 20. Avendano L. 17. Caceres C. 23. Flores I. 10. Luna J. 29. Silva C. 19. Villarroel C.	15. Ayala J. 16. Contreras S. 31. Diaz I. 17. Gonzalez C. 6. Lopez M. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 14. Rojas D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Deportes Iquique has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Wanderers	26	12	8	6	41:28	13	44
12	Deportes Iquique	26	7	10	9	35:30	5	31

Last Results with these Odds

Santiago Wanderers - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 43.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Deportes Iquique - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.77%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.08.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	San Luis de Quillota - Santiago Wanderers	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTTT
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.08.26	Deportes Iquique - San Luis de Quillota	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Iquique	0:4 ✺
16.08.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
13.08.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Copiapó	4:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.04.26	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	2:1
10.12.23	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	4:3 penalties
04.12.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Iquique	1:1
15.10.23	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	3:2
04.06.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Iquique	1:1
01.07.22	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	2:1
05.06.22	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Iquique	2:0

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