Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 7

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)


	Deportes Iquique		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.35	3.6
	1.81	3.65	3.99
	2.03	3.57	3.36	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.8
	1.8	3.91	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	3.56 ↑ (3.46)	3.72 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
49.1%

Draw
26%

Deportes Puerto Montt
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Deportes Iquique - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Puerto Montt will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Castillo D. (G) 21. Espinoza F. 15. Ayala J. 26. Ledesma F. 5. Concha V. 23. Pereyra J. 18. Garrido B. 8. Venezia A. 17. Gonzalez C. 11. Ramos A. (C) 7. Gonzalez I.	29. Collao G. (G) 4. Riveros M. 3. Pino Villalon J. 17. Nieto B. 15. Egana K. 23. Castillo G. 14. Cardenas J. 16. Flores J. 11. Castro R. 9. Vazquez L. (C) 8. Paredes R.
Substitutes
16. Contreras S. 31. Diaz I. 27. Henriquez A. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 9. Olguin A. 33. Tello D. 28. Troncoso L.	20. Bahamonde D. 5. Calisto F. 7. Clerveaux M. 6. Diaz D. 34. Gonzalez K. 28. Perez S. 13. Ureta L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Garrido B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Espinoza F. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez I. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
70', Paredes R. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
70', Flores J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
72', Garrido B. ↓, Tello D. ↑,
84', 🟨,
87', Vazquez L. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
87', Cardenas J. ↓, Calisto F. ↑,
90+1', Castro R. ↓, Bahamonde D. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 1.

Deportes Iquique is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Puerto Montt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportes Iquique is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	D. Puerto Montt	26	10	4	12	26:34	-8	34
12	Deportes Iquique	26	7	10	9	35:30	5	31

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Iquique - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Iquique	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Deportes Iquique - San Marcos de Arica	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTT
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Wanderers	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Recoleta	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.07.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Iquique	2:2
12.03.23	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
25.07.22	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
08.03.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Iquique	0:0
13.11.21	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Puerto Montt	4:2
15.08.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Iquique	0:0

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