The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 48.9%
Draw 27.4%
Santiago Wanderers 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
26.7%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
25.4%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Puerto Montt will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Montt (votes: 1 - 50%). Santiago Wanderers (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (C) 17. Nieto B. 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 15. Egana K. 18. Sabella A. 23. Castillo G. 16. Flores J. 28. Perez S. 8. Paredes R. 7. Clerveaux M.
12. Olivares R. (G) 7. Herrera A. 3. Margas L. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 15. Villarroel M. 5. Navarro L. 8. Silva J. 37. San Martin D. 10. Luna J. (C) 9. Camarda M.
Substitutes
14. Cardenas J. 11. Castro R. 6. Diaz D. 1. Escobar M. (G) 34. Gonzalez K. 3. Pino Villalon J. 9. Vazquez L.
17. Caceres C. 4. Espinoza V. 22. Javier Parraguez 11. Lobos F. 36. Martinez B. (G) 6. Parra R. 27. Vera V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Sabella A. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
21', Villarroel M. 🟨,
22', Egana K. 🟨,
27', Morales A. 🟨,
30', Morales A. 🟥,
32', 0 - 1, Navarro L. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Silva J. ⚽,
45', Luna J. 🟨,
45', Perez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luna J. ↓, Vera V. ↑,
46', Flores J. ↓, Pino Villalon J. ↑,
46', Paredes R. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
65', Clerveaux M. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
65', Cardenas J. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
76', San Martin D. ↓, Caceres C. ↑,
84', Vera V. 🟨,
88', Silva J. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
90+4', Villarroel M. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
90+4', Camarda M. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 0.
Puerto Montt is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Santiago Wanderers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Puerto Montt is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Montt won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
10
D. Puerto Montt
26
10
4
12
26:34
-8
34
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Puerto Montt - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Ureta L. (C) 
Morales A. 
Clerveaux M. 
Felipe S. 
Castro R. 
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