The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Iquique 50.3%
Draw 24.8%
Unión Española 24.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.9%
26.9%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
26.5%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Iquique's performance.
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Iquique that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Deportes Iquique - Unión Española Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Castillo D. (G) 6. Lopez M. 14. Rojas D. 15. Ayala J. 21. Espinoza F. 26. Ledesma F. 8. Venezia A. 18. Garrido B. 20. Orellana D. 11. Ramos A. 17. Gonzalez C.
13. Fierro J. (G) 16. Ormeno M. 18. Aja J. 3. Alarcon R. 32. Molina L. 17. Massri F. 4. Celis M. 19. Tolosa T. 10. Aranguiz P. (C) 11. Ratotti F. 20. Wassenne M.
Substitutes
24. Barrera B. 5. Concha V. 31. Diaz I. 7. Jones T. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 23. Pereyra J. 28. Troncoso L.
38. Chadwick Bosco C. A. 2. Contreras K. 30. Cordero R. 5. Machado W. 12. Uribe E. (G) 28. Valencia N. 9. Vilches Araneda A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Venezia A. ⚽,
25', Molina L. 🟨,
32', Rojas D. 🟨,
32', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Gonzalez C. ↓, Barrera B. ↑,
64', Celis M. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
64', Ratotti F. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
72', Araos A. ↓, Chadwick Bosco C. A. ↑,
77', Venezia A. ↓, Jones T. ↑,
77', Rojas D. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
77', Ramos A. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
87', Garrido B. ↓, Troncoso L. ↑,
90', Alarcon R. ↓, Contreras K. ↑,
90+3', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
90+6', Cordero R. 🟨,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 1.
Deportes Iquique has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Unión Española is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Deportes Iquique holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Iquique has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:43 (averaging 1.5:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Iquique against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
U. Espanola
29
11
6
12
34:37
-3
39
10
Deportes Iquique
29
9
11
9
42:33
9
38
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Iquique - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.93%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Castillo D. (G) 
Lopez M. 
Ayala J. 
Ledesma F. 
Massri F. 
Valencia N. 
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