Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 24

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Santa Cruz		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.90
	2.23	3.30	2.75
	2.33	3.45	2.94
	2.16	3.54	3.08	Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.75
	2.38	3.21	2.97
	2.18	3.20	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.4)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.89 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Santa Cruz
40.8%

Draw
27.5%

Unión Española
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 5. Camisassa B. 19. Flores E. 31. Romero N. 22. Tati D. 4. Alucema G. 14. Plaza D. 15. Delgado J. 11. Pinto M. 9. Zeineddin N. 35. Brito P.	13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 21. Pereira S. 3. Alarcon R. 24. Norambuena G. 17. Massri F. (C) 30. Cordero R. 32. Molina L. 15. Droguett B. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 8. Rubio P.
Substitutes
34. Castillo C. 20. Cavero H. 36. Islame Y. 10. Mederos S. 26. Moreno C. 6. Orellana F. 28. Quezada M.	18. Aja J. 4. Celis M. 5. Machado W. 37. Ortiz M. 11. Ratotti F. 28. Valencia N. 7. Vasquez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Molina L. 🟨,
9', Norambuena G. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
45', Alarcon R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Contreras K. 🟨,
51', Camisassa B. 🟨,
55', Pinto M. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Pinto M. ⚽,
64', Droguett B. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
65', Delgado J. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
65', Brito P. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
71', Pinto M. ↓, Orellana F. ↑,
75', Romero N. 🟥,
76', Molina L. ↓, Machado W. ↑,
76', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
89', Ortiz M. 🟨,
89', Zeineddin N. ↓, Cavero H. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Deportes Santa Cruz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unión Española has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportes Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportes Santa Cruz could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
14	CD Santa Cruz	26	4	10	12	27:40	-13	22

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.06%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Unión Española - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.08.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
17.08.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - San Luis de Quillota	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWL
- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.08.26	Unión Española - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
26.08.26	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	3:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.08.26	Cobreloa - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Unión Española - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.04.26	Unión Española - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:0

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