Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 25

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Curicó Unido		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.10	2.40
	2.50	3.15	2.45
	2.71	3.25	2.58
	2.98	3.27	2.34	Watch
	2.90	3.15	2.30
	2.59	3.18	2.44
	2.60	3.05	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.35)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
33.7%

Draw
28.7%

Unión Española
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Curicó Unido - Unión Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (G) 14. Medina C. 4. Colombo R. (C) 3. Sarria G. 37. Guzman R. 8. Romo J. 21. Ormeno E. 24. Saez W. 43. Gutierrez F. 7. Fernandez N. 13. Bustamante C.	13. Fierro J. (G) 16. Ormeno M. 21. Pereira S. 3. Alarcon R. 24. Norambuena G. 5. Machado W. 17. Massri F. (C) 4. Celis M. 15. Droguett B. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 8. Rubio P.
Substitutes
11. Aliaga I. 19. de La Fuente R. 17. Inostroza B. 23. Lopez L. 18. Perez F. 5. Veglio B. 1. Vergara T. (G)	18. Aja J. 30. Cordero R. 6. Jauregui B. 25. Ovando T. 12. Uribe E. (G) 28. Valencia N. 7. Vasquez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', Massri F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Colombo R. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Guzman R. 🟨,
57', Alarcon R. 🟨,
60', Fierro J. 🟨,
61', Alarcon R. 🟥,
62', Droguett B. ↓, Aja J. ↑,
63', Romo J. 🟥,
66', Gutierrez F. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
73', Bustamante C. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
73', Fernandez N. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
80', Guzman R. ↓, de La Fuente R. ↑,
81', Saez W. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
81', Celis M. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Aliaga I. ⚽,
87', Machado W. ↓, Ovando T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 1.

Curicó Unido is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Unión Española has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unión Española may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
13	Curico Unido	26	6	9	11	22:39	-17	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
04.09.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Curicó Unido - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	4:0 ✺
13.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL
- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.09.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Unión Española - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
26.08.26	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	3:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.08.26	Cobreloa - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Unión Española - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.04.26	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:0
Chilean Primera Division
30.09.23	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:2
17.04.23	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	0:1
25.07.22	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	1:3
28.02.22	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	0:1
16.10.21	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:1
28.05.21	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	1:2

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