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Current Win Probability
Deportes Limache 54.7%
Draw 23.9%
Universidad de Concepción 21.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.4%
24.6%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
24.4%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Limache's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Limache that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.7%
0%
6.2%
Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Limache (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportes Limache will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Limache (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Gonzalez C. (G) 23. Gonzalez Y. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 4. Flores M. 15. Alvarez V. 27. Ramon Martinez 25. Llanten M. 19. Castro D. 16. Jean David 9. Sosa G.
13. Sanhueza J. (G) 5. Retamal D. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 32. Saez B. 21. Espejo J. 8. Mater F. 19. Mesias C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 7. Urzi A. 18. Waterman C. 10. Fuentealba J.
Substitutes
26. Arturia M. 6. Fuentes C. 11. Marin F. 3. Molina B. 8. Montecinos J. 7. Morales C. 21. Moya F. 12. Smith M. (G) 28. Vargas V.
11. Diaz A. 34. Herrera F. 16. Ogaz B. 14. Parra P. 29. Sabando D. 25. Salgado H. 1. Silva S. (G) 6. Ubal B. 22. Uribe A.
Coaches
Rivero V.
Ramos L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽, Castro D. (A),
15', Retamal D. 🟨,
40', Mesias C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alvarez V. ↓, Fuentes C. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Fuentes C. ⚽, Castro D. (A),
74', Llanten M. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
74', Sosa G. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
77', Mesias C. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
77', Fuentealba J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
77', Saez B. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
77', Urzi A. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Castro D. ⚽, Jean David (A),
86', Castro D. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
86', Jean David ↓, Morales C. ↑,
90+2', Salgado H. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Limache will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Limache won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Limache won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Limache
25
11
4
10
46:37
9
37
15
U. De Concepcion
25
6
5
14
18:41
-23
23
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Concepción - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Gonzalez C. (G) 
Aguirre A. 
Ramon Martinez 
Mater F. 
Waterman C. 
Silva S. (G) 
