The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huachipato 34.2%
Draw 30.5%
Universidad de Concepción 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
27.2%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
27.5%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huachipato's form might have worsened.
Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Concepción's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huachipato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Concepción, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Huachipato - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bravo C. (G) 2. Guaiquil G. 5. Caroca R. 14. Vargas N. 27. Velasquez L. 8. Silva S. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 10. Canete E. 11. Figueroa J. 15. Rodriguez M. 26. Antinirre H.
1. Silva S. (G) 16. Ogaz B. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 3. Gonzalez L. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 21. Espejo J. 19. Mesias C. 8. Mater F. 10. Fuentealba J. 18. Waterman C. 7. Urzi A.
Substitutes
9. Altamirano L. 42. Bohle P. 7. Briceno M. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 21. Herrera C. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 23. Martinez C. 3. Mellado B. 51. Torrejon M.
11. Diaz A. 34. Herrera F. 35. Ramirez M. 23. Romero P. 32. Saez B. 25. Salgado H. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 22. Uribe A. 27. Zambrano C.
Coaches
Garcia J.
Ramos L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Urzi A. ⚽, Waterman C. (A),
27', Sepulveda C. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Silva S. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Antinirre H. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
46', Urzi A. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
63', Canete E. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
63', Figueroa J. ↓, Altamirano L. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Vargas N. ⚽, Sepulveda C. (A),
69', Mesias C. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
69', Silva S. 🟨,
70', 3 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽, Altamirano L. (A),
79', 4 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Martinez C. (A),
80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Leon Munoz M. A. ↑,
82', Ogaz B. 🟨,
82', Fuentealba J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
83', 5 - 1, Sepulveda C. ⚽,
86', Sepulveda C. ↓, Torrejon M. ↑,
88', Torrejon M. 🟨,
90', Guaiquil G. 🟨,
90+1', Espejo J. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 2.
Huachipato is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Uni de Concepción has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Huachipato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Huachipato
24
10
4
10
34:39
-5
34
15
U. De Concepcion
24
6
5
13
18:40
-22
23
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Concepción - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.