Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 2

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Universidad de Concepción		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.10	2.50
	2.70	3.10	2.35
	2.80	3.20	2.28
	2.94	3.25	2.64
	4.46	2.27	2.44	Watch
	2.90	2.75	2.60
	2.81	2.81	2.51
	2.75	3.10	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.59)	2.95 ↓ (3.3)	2.47 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
30.8%

Draw
31.5%

Ñublense
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.8%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

27.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ñublense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanhueza J. (C) 32. Saez B. 8. Mater F. 17. Gonzalez M. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 34. Herrera F. 16. Ogaz B. 10. Fuentealba J. 7. Urzi A. 25. Salgado H. 36. Suazo M.	1. Perez N. (C) 16. Sanhueza D. 3. Salomon C. 6. Calderon P. 27. Guzman V. 18. Cespedes D. 13. Saavedra D. 4. Bosso Torres O. 10. Plaza M. 22. Valdes A. 11. Molina Canto L.
Substitutes
11. Diaz A. 12. Matamala D. (G) 33. Medina R. 19. Mesias C. 20. Rojas L. 23. Romero P. 29. Sabando D. 30. Ther A. 27. Zambrano C.	14. Campusano J. 23. Gonzalez J. 20. Jeraldino I. 35. Mansilla C. 36. Munoz B. 25. Munoz H. (G) 31. Poblete J. 19. Tapia I. 15. Valencia S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Salomon C. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
63', Suazo M. ↓, Rojas L. ↑,
64', Plaza M. (Penalty Awarded),
65', 0 - 1, Plaza M. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Valdes A. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
65', Molina Canto L. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
70', Herrera F. ↓, Mesias C. ↑,
72', Mesias C. 🟨,
78', Plaza M. ↓, Campusano J. ↑,
85', Guzman V. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
87', Saavedra D. 🟨,
89', Mater F. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
90+5', Campusano J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 0.

Uni de Concepción has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ñublense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Uni de Concepción has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ñublense - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.82%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Cup
28.06.26	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
25.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	4:2 ✺
20.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.06.26	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Concepción	5:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Cup
28.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
25.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	4:2 ✺
21.06.26	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
25.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	4:2
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1
Chilean Primera Division
23.05.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:2
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:2
Chilean Cup
05.04.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:0
31.01.25	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	2:3
Chilean Primera Division
13.03.15	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	2:2

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