Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 5

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Palestino		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.35	2.08
	3.38	3.6	2.12
	2.7	3.44	2.45	Watch
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.21	3.26	2.07	Watch
	2.63	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.71)	3.33 ↑ (3.26)	2.17 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
30.4%

Draw
27.5%

Deportes Limache
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.8%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

28.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Palestino - Deportes Limache Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Limache will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salas S. (G) 30. Alegria I. 21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 5. Fernandez J. 9. Fernandez R. 23. Leon J. 6. Meza F. 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.	1. Borquez M. (G) 2. Aguirre A. 26. Arturia M. 19. Castro D. 6. Fuentes C. 23. Gonzalez Y. 16. Jean David 25. Llanten M. 7. Morales C. 21. Moya F. 24. Parot A.
Substitutes
7. Carrasco B. 19. Da Silva N. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 13. Gomez A. 8. Meza N. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 27. Munder C. 25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G)	18. Aban G. 15. Alvarez V. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 11. Marin F. 3. Molina B. 8. Montecinos J. 29. Oyarzun F. 9. Sosa G. 28. Vargas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Arturia M. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Castro D. ⚽,
33', Llanten M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Meza F. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
55', Araya M. 🟨,
59', Leon J. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
67', Morales C. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
67', Arturia M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
73', Alegria I. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
73', Araya M. ↓, Munder C. ↑,
78', Fernandez J. 🟨,
78', Garguez Gomez I. A. 🟨,
80', Moya F. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Carrasco B. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Tapia Paez G. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Fernandez R. ⚽,
90+2', Munder C. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Palestino	1:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
02.05.26	Everton de Viña - Palestino	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Palestino - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
23.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Concepción	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Colo-Colo - Palestino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTLW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Copa de la Liga
03.05.26	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
11.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	1:0
Chilean Copa de la Liga
26.03.26	Deportes Limache - Palestino	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
03.11.25	Palestino - Deportes Limache	2:1
18.05.25	Deportes Limache - Palestino	0:1
Chilean Cup
09.04.23	Deportes Limache - Palestino	1:3

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