Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 22

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Linares (Linares)


	Deportes Linares		Provincial Ovalle

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.2
	1.96	3.65	3.1
	1.81	3.63	3.93	Watch
	2.06	3.24	3.28
	2.45	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.45)	3.4 ↑ (3.2)	3.21 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Linares
44.6%

Draw
26.9%

Provincial Ovalle
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Linares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Linares's performance.

Provincial Ovalle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Provincial Ovalle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Linares than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Linares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Ovalle than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Provincial Ovalle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Deportes Linares - Provincial Ovalle Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportes Linares will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ovalle will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castillo C. (G) 21. Aros Malgarejo J. 20. Bravo B. 10. Droguett B. 9. Duma C. 14. Figueroa B. 17. Fuentes D. 6. Molina J. 3. Rojas F. 22. Tati D. 18. Vallejos D.	1. Abarzua F. (G) 23. Barrios N. 2. Bravo S. 28. Harding G. 26. Meneses M. 14. Monardes D. 4. Navarrete E. 29. Novero G. 8. Pavez J. 27. Serrano K. 16. Solano B.
Substitutes
23. Aravena S. (G) 30. Araya B. 16. Diaz C. 5. Latorre C. 19. Lee-Chong F. 15. Palma J. 24. Penaloza S.	24. Avila M. 10. Moreira L. 12. Orellana G. (G) 13. Ortiz J. 5. Rivera N. 17. Silva Gaunes L. 9. Tolosa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Novero G. ↓, Tolosa T. ↑,
45+2', Harding G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Droguett B. ↓, Araya B. ↑,
64', Molina J. ↓, Penaloza S. ↑,
68', Figueroa B. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
69', Navarrete E. 🟨,
76', Vallejos D. ↓, Palma J. ↑,
79', Navarrete E. ↓, Avila M. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Araya B. ⚽,
87', Meneses M. ↓, Moreira L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 4).

Deportes Linares has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ovalle is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportes Linares will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportes Linares won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Deportes Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Linares
Chilean Segunda Division
05.10.25	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Linares	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Deportes Linares - General Velásquez	5:1 ✺
30.08.25	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Linares	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Deportes Linares - Santiago City	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Brujas Salamanca - Deportes Linares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWL
- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
05.10.25	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:4 ✺
14.09.25	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Provincial Ovalle - General Velásquez	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Provincial Osorno - Provincial Ovalle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
09.05.25	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Linares	1:1
07.09.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Linares	2:1
27.04.24	Deportes Linares - Provincial Ovalle	2:0

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