Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Diaguita (Ovalle)


	Provincial Ovalle		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.4	2.08
	2.94	3.83	2.06
	3.18	2.52	2.71	Watch
	3.05	3.38	2.11
	3.45	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)	2.2 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provincial Ovalle
29.7%

Draw
28.3%

Deportes Puerto Montt
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Ovalle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Orellana G. (G) 20. Bobadilla S. 2. Bravo S. 28. Harding G. 26. Meneses M. 18. Mundaca K. 4. Navarrete E. 29. Novero G. 8. Pavez J. 5. Rivera N. 27. Serrano K.	13. Ureta L. (G) 14. Antinirre H. 23. Castillo G. 29. Castro R. 6. Diaz D. 30. Negrete S. 16. Ormeno M. 4. Riveros M. 2. Rodriguez C. 9. Vazquez L. 3. Yanez V.
Substitutes
1. Abarzua F. (G) 23. Barrios N. 3. Cisternas T. 10. Moreira L. 13. Ortiz J. 17. Silva Gaunes L. 9. Tolosa T.	25. Bustos G. 8. Cardenas J. 1. Catalan K. (G) 17. Flores Secal K. 21. Toledo M. 27. Torres S. 10. Vargas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', Navarrete E. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Castro R. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
30', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
32', Bobadilla S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Harding G. (Pen),
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 2, Novero G. ⚽,
52', Bobadilla S. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
57', Negrete S. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
61', 🟨,
65', 2 - 3, Vargas C. ⚽,
71', 2 - 4, Vazquez L. ⚽,
73', Mundaca K. ↓, Tolosa T. ↑,
75', Diaz D. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
75', Castro R. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
84', Antinirre H. ↓, Flores Secal K. ↑,
90+3', Serrano K. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso).

Puerto Montt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ovalle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ovalle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Ovalle FC
Chilean Segunda Division
14.09.25	Provincial Ovalle - Concón National	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Deportes Melipilla - Provincial Ovalle	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Provincial Ovalle - General Velásquez	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Provincial Osorno - Provincial Ovalle	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Provincial Ovalle - San Antonio Unido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Segunda Division
13.09.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Melipilla	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	General Velásquez - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Trasandino de Los Andes	5:0 ✺
15.08.25	Deportes Rengo - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Real San Joaquín	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
03.05.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Provincial Ovalle	2:0
13.07.24	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2
02.03.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Provincial Ovalle	1:0

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