The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 48.3%
Draw 27.8%
Rangers de Talca 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
27.1%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
26.4%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Magallanes's performance.
Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rangers de Talca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rangers de Talca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Deportes Magallanes - Rangers de Talca Predictions
Users Predictions:
Deportes Magallanes will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Munoz J. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. (C) 22. Meneses C. 30. Salinas Flores H. 21. Quiroz J. 28. Guzman G. 32. Coronel S. 35. Cabezas V. 11. Fredes M. 19. Farfan R.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 3. Vasquez K. 14. Acuna S. 5. Silva D. 13. Mora A. 8. Marquez A. (C) 18. Rodriguez A. 7. Ibanez I. 16. Araya J. 19. Gonzalez D. 9. Ribas S.
Substitutes
8. Fernandez C. D. N. 6. James J. 20. Neira E. 17. Olguin M. (G) 16. Osorio M. 24. Yanez F.
25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 33. Gonzalez B. 26. Herrera J. 4. Navarrete J. 22. Plaza D. 27. Servetti C. 11. Vicuna M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Mora A. (Own goal),
24', 2 - 0, Fredes M. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Farfan R. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Ibanez I. ⚽,
45', 3 - 2, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Marquez A. 🟨,
52', Vasquez K. 🟨,
58', Vasquez K. ↓, Vicuna M. ↑,
59', Ribas S. ↓, Servetti C. ↑,
61', Coronel S. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
65', Farfan R. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
66', Guzman G. ↓, Sanzana I. ↑,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
69', Gonzalez D. ↓, Navarrete J. ↑,
73', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
73', Cabezas V. ↓, James J. ↑,
74', Marquez A. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
86', James J. 🟨,
89', Munoz J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 2.
Magallanes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rangers is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Magallanes
26
12
7
7
42:38
4
43
16
Rangers
26
4
6
16
23:42
-19
18
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Magallanes - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.