Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 29

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bueras (Santiago de Chile)


	Deportes Magallanes		Deportes Antofagasta

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.15	3.25
	2.25	3.15	3.48
	2.26	3.29	3.02	Watch
	2.14	3.14	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.22)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.29 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
42.4%

Draw
29.2%

Deportes Antofagasta
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

27.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Antofagasta will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bernatene M. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. (C) 17. Ortega F. 41. James J. 14. Valdez B. 21. Quiroz J. 40. Sabella A. 9. Peraza F. 18. Toledo A. 20. Araya M.	12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 3. Maluenda M. 5. Astorga R. 16. Viveros B. 33. Abuhadba Z. 20. Cuadra A. 21. Manzano F. 26. Hinojosa S. 7. Bravo C. 18. Salas C. 32. Figueroa T.
Substitutes
30. Abarca Antil F. A. 10. Aranguiz T. 38. Conelli V. 23. Mancilla N. 1. Martinic A. (G) 26. Munoz C. 11. Valenzuela C.	24. Alvarez F. 1. Cisternas J. (G) 6. Diaz C. 23. Fredes M. 19. Larenas M. 14. Sanchez M. 10. Souper A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Sabella A. 🟨,
38', Toledo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bravo C. ↓, Fredes M. ↑,
46', Cuadra A. ↓, Souper A. ↑,
55', Walters A. ↓, Mancilla N. ↑,
56', Viveros B. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Araya M. ⚽,
60', Araya M. 🟨,
61', Astorga R. 🟨,
63', Peraza F. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
68', Salas C. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
68', Hinojosa S. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
80', Alvarez F. 🟨,
84', Maluenda M. ↓, Sanchez M. ↑,
85', Valdez B. ↓, Abarca Antil F. A. ↑,
85', Toledo A. ↓, Aranguiz T. ↑,
85', Sabella A. ↓, Valenzuela C. ↑,
90+4', Quiroz J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Magallanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Magallanes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.10.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Morning	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW
- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.10.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
13.10.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Morning	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.06.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Magallanes	5:0
07.10.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0
19.05.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Magallanes	2:1

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