Match Info

Date: 29 April 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Deportes Melipilla		Barnechea

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	1.98	2.9	3.5
	2.04	3	3.5
	2.06	3.15	3.82
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.04	3.24	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.85)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.58 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
44.8%

Draw
29.8%

Barnechea
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

29.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

28.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Barnechea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Melipilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	12.5%	8.3%

Deportes Melipilla - Barnechea Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportes Melipilla will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 3.

Recent matches Melipilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnechea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Melipilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.22	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Wanderers	2:0 ✺
17.04.22	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
08.04.22	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
28.03.22	Rodelindo Román - Deportes Melipilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWLTW
- Barnechea
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.22	Barnechea - Universidad de Concepción	1:1 ✺
20.04.22	Cobreloa - Barnechea	3:2 ✺
16.04.22	Barnechea - Rangers de Talca	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Deportes Magallanes - Barnechea	4:0 ✺
04.04.22	Barnechea - Unión San Felipe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.01.21	Deportes Melipilla - Barnechea	3:1
22.09.20	Barnechea - Deportes Melipilla	0:1
02.08.19	Barnechea - Deportes Melipilla	0:1
11.05.19	Deportes Melipilla - Barnechea	0:0
31.10.18	Barnechea - Deportes Melipilla	1:0
24.03.18	Deportes Melipilla - Barnechea	0:2

Deportes Melipilla - Barnechea