Match Info

Date: 20 April 2022, Wednesday


	Deportes Melipilla		Santiago Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.43	3.05	2.5
	2.55	3.1	2.49
	2.61	3.16	2.65
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.55	3.38	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.32)	3.15 ↑ (3)	2.56 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
35.9%

Draw
28.7%

Santiago Wanderers
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.3%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Melipilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.04.22	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
08.04.22	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
28.03.22	Rodelindo Román - Deportes Melipilla	0:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.03.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Melipilla	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWLW
- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.04.22	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Deportes Copiapó - Santiago Wanderers	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Magallanes	0:2 ✺
22.03.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
16.03.22	Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
04.10.21	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Wanderers	1:1
08.05.21	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Melipilla	0:3
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.07.19	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Wanderers	2:1
04.05.19	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Melipilla	2:1
26.08.18	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Melipilla	1:0
06.06.18	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Wanderers	2:1

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