Match Info

Date: 8 April 2022, Friday


	Deportes Melipilla		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.33	3.05	2.6
	2.37	2.95	2.85
	2.57	3.22	2.74
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.52	3.26	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3)	3.08 ↓ (3.34)	2.72 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
37.1%

Draw
29.5%

Cobreloa
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

28%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Melipilla's performance.

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobreloa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Melipilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobreloa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Promotion)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 1.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Cobreloa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Cup
28.03.22	Rodelindo Román - Deportes Melipilla	0:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.03.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Melipilla	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
11.03.22	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Melipilla	1:2 ✺
02.03.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWT
- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.04.22	Cobreloa - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
27.03.22	Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique	2:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.03.22	Deportes Magallanes - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
08.03.22	Rangers de Talca - Cobreloa	1:2 ✺
24.02.22	Universidad de Concepción - Cobreloa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.12.20	Cobreloa - Deportes Melipilla	0:0
16.09.20	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	1:1
31.08.19	Cobreloa - Deportes Melipilla	0:1
23.02.19	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	1:1
12.08.18	Cobreloa - Deportes Melipilla	6:0
07.04.18	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	3:0

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