The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 44.1%
Draw 26.5%
Cobreloa 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
29.5%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
30%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Deportes Magallanes - Cobreloa Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Munoz J. (G) 19. Farfan R. 6. James J. 10. Jorquera C. (C) 22. Meneses C. 16. Osorio M. 9. Peraza F. 21. Quiroz J. 30. Salinas Flores H. 7. Toledo A. 24. Yanez F.
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 22. Delgado A. 29. Gatica J. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 11. Gotti G. 21. Muga C. 38. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 27. Sandoval M. 4. San Juan B. 17. Tapia D. 32. Velazco F.
Substitutes
11. Fredes M. 5. Liuzzi B. 20. Neira E. 29. Sepulveda M. 40. Serpa I. 4. Vasquez M. 17. Zozaya J. P. (G)
14. Aranguiz T. 8. Cornejo L. 37. Duma J. 15. Garcia D. 20. Matamoros F. 19. Navarro Y. 30. Tapia D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Peraza F. ⚽,
27', Farfan R. 🟨,
32', Farfan R. ↓, Vasquez M. ↑,
33', Sandoval M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Muga C. ⚽,
41', Gotti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Quiroz J. ↓, Liuzzi B. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Peraza F. ⚽,
56', Velazco F. ↓, Aranguiz T. ↑,
56', Sandoval M. ↓, Matamoros F. ↑,
67', Peraza F. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Aranguiz T. ⚽,
85', James J. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 1.
Magallanes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Cobreloa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Cobreloa
26
13
9
4
44:27
17
48
4
Magallanes
26
12
7
7
42:38
4
43
Last Results with these Odds
Cobreloa - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.09%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.