Match Info

CHILE: Copa Chile - Round 4

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)


	Cobreloa		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.6	3.3	2.25
	2.65	3.45	2.41
	2.67	3.57	2.43	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.45
	2.6	3.42	2.31
	2.65	3.45	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (4.57)	3.4 ↓ (3.73)	2.39 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
34.8%

Draw
26.9%

Deportes Iquique
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.7%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

24.3%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobreloa's performance.

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Iquique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobreloa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Iquique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Salazar A. (G) 17. Tapia D. 33. Heredia A. 16. Romero P. 6. Palma N. 30. Ledezma I. 21. Muga C. 32. Zuniga S. 15. Valdes A. 7. Gotti G. (C) 22. Delgado A.	1. Reyes M. (G) 30. Blazquez M. 4. Rojas D. 3. Ferreyra T. 13. Jorquera M. 16. Soto B. 5. Fuentes C. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 29. Moya M. 9. Javier Parraguez 11. Ramos A.
Substitutes
10. Arace R. 1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 35. Bustamante B. 24. Garcia L. 5. Gonzalez R. 18. Melendez J. 23. Navarrete G. 9. Ponce W. 36. Tejerina A.	24. Barrera B. 28. Binimelis H. 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 7. Gomez J. 17. Gonzalez C. 27. Henriquez A. 23. Hoyos E. 20. Orellana D. 15. Rodriguez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Tapia D. 🟨,
30', Soto B. 🟨,
43', Javier Parraguez 🟨,
45', Ramos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Moya M. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
59', Soto B. ↓, Hoyos E. ↑,
59', Fuentes C. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
61', Ledezma I. ↓, Bustamante B. ↑,
61', Zuniga S. ↓, Navarrete G. ↑,
74', Delgado A. ↓, Arace R. ↑,
74', Valdes A. ↓, Tejerina A. ↑,
75', Javier Parraguez ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
80', Gotti G. ↓, Ponce W. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Deportes Iquique could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25:36 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.03.25	Rangers de Talca - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Cobreloa - Universidad de Concepción	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.02.25	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTTL
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Unión Española	0:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.25	Alianza Lima - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.03.25	Deportes Iquique - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.03.25	Universidad Católica - Deportes Iquique	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
09.02.25	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	2:0
Chilean Primera Division
20.10.24	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	4:1
Chilean Cup
12.07.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique	0:2
06.07.24	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	2:0
Chilean Primera Division
18.05.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique	2:2
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.09.23	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	2:2
03.05.23	Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique	1:0

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