The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 39.8%
Draw 28.1%
Rangers de Talca 32.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.3%
26.7%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
27.2%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Wanderers's form might have worsened.
Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rangers de Talca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Miranda E. (G) 7. Herrera A. 31. Valenzuela C. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 8. Silva J. 5. Navarro L. (C) 27. Vera V. 14. Ponce C. 23. Flores I. 32. Vargas V.
25. Cerda F. (G) 3. Vasquez K. 16. Rigazzi L. 27. Servetti C. 24. Gomez T. 18. Rodriguez A. 8. Marquez A. (C) 7. Ibanez I. 19. Gonzalez D. 9. Arias J. 39. Mesias Gonzalez I. S.
Substitutes
10. Luna J. 36. Martinez B. (G) 38. Portilla D. 37. San Martin D. 29. Silva C. 19. Villarroel C. 15. Villarroel M.
14. Acuna S. 17. Campestrini C. (G) 23. Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 21. Mora P. 31. Munoz C. 22. Plaza D. 11. Vicuna M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Navarro L. ⚽,
33', Silva J. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Flores I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Silva J. ↓, Villarroel C. ↑,
52', Valenzuela C. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Flores I. ⚽,
63', Navarro L. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
63', Ponce C. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
64', Gonzalez D. ↓, Mora P. ↑,
66', Mora P. 🟨,
76', Vera V. ↓, San Martin D. ↑,
78', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Arias J. (Own goal),
83', Vasquez K. ↓, Acuna S. ↑,
83', Marquez A. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
83', Arias J. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
83', Flores I. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 16th in the Relegation - Segunda Division).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
Santiago Wanderers is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Rangers has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santiago Wanderers holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Santiago Wanderers has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:9 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santiago Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers ✔
29
14
8
7
48:32
16
50
16
Rangers
29
5
6
18
28:47
-19
21
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Miranda E. (G) 
Felipe S. 
Navarro L. (C) 
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