Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 23

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso)


	Santiago Wanderers		Rangers de Talca

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	2.15	3.35	3.05
	2.06	3.52	3.31
	1.91	3.28	4.05	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.18	3.32	3.11	Watch
	2.03	3.3	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	3.32 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
44.6%

Draw
27.8%

Rangers de Talca
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miranda E. (G) 17. Herrera A. 18. Felipe S. 4. Espinoza V. 6. Torres Quintana D. 5. Navarro L. 8. Pereyra J. 29. Gatica J. 10. Luna J. 27. Cuadra M. 30. Espinoza E.	25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 3. Sanhueza M. 5. Gonzalez M. 15. Rodriguez C. 23. Duran V. 8. Leyton S. 13. Mora A. 10. Alvarez G. 7. Reyes G. 31. Diaz I. 37. Sandoval M.
Substitutes
9. Monreal J. 40. Olivares R. (G) 7. Opazo D. 16. Parra R. 22. Salas J. 20. Silva J. 33. Velasquez M.	14. Acuna S. 17. Ibanez I. 32. Jorquera C. 18. Lobos C. 21. Mora P. 1. Rodriguez G. (G) 9. Sanchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Leyton S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alvarez G. ↓, Jorquera C. ↑,
63', Parra R. 🟨,
64', Diaz I. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
64', Sandoval M. ↓, Ibanez I. ↑,
72', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
73', Cuadra M. ↓, Monreal J. ↑,
74', Reyes G. ↓, Mora P. ↑,
78', Torres Quintana D. 🟨,
80', Duran V. 🟨,
81', Herrera A. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
87', Gonzalez M. ↓, Lobos C. ↑,
89', Torres Quintana D. ↓, Opazo D. ↑,
89', Pereyra J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
90', Navarro L. 🟨,
90', Mora P. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Jorquera C. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 1.

Santiago Wanderers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rangers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Santiago Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.08.25	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Deportes Temuco - Santiago Wanderers	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Santiago Wanderers - San Marcos de Arica	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWL
- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.08.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Magallanes	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Morning	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Cobreloa - Rangers de Talca	4:1 ✺
27.07.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Copiapó	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.04.25	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	3:3
17.08.24	Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca	4:0
06.04.24	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	1:0
27.09.23	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	0:0
16.04.23	Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca	0:1
01.08.22	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	1:2
16.03.22	Santiago Wanderers - Rangers de Talca	1:3

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