The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 42.7%
Draw 27.1%
Deportes Magallanes 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
27.6%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
28.6%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Magallanes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 31. Valenzuela C. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 8. Silva J. 5. Navarro L. (C) 14. Ponce C. 24. Dubo A. 9. Camarda M. 23. Flores I.
17. Zozaya J. P. (G) 4. Vasquez M. (C) 22. Meneses C. 16. Osorio M. 30. Salinas Flores H. 3. Walters A. 6. James J. 5. Liuzzi B. 7. Toledo A. 24. Yanez F. 9. Peraza F.
Substitutes
35. Avello F. (G) 20. Avendano L. 10. Luna J. 38. Portilla D. 29. Silva C. 19. Villarroel C. 15. Villarroel M.
23. Alegre M. 32. Coronel S. 19. Farfan R. 11. Fredes M. 1. Munoz J. (G) 21. Quiroz J. 29. Sepulveda M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Navarro L. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
31', Valenzuela C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Martinez B. ↓, Avello F. ↑,
46', Yanez F. ↓, Fredes M. ↑,
59', Flores I. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
59', Dubo A. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
62', Peraza F. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
63', Osorio M. ↓, Quiroz J. ↑,
72', Liuzzi B. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Coronel S. ⚽,
82', Silva J. ↓, Portilla D. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Luna J. ⚽,
90', Meneses C. ↓, Farfan R. ↑,
90+3', Coronel S. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Camarda M. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 1.
Santiago Wanderers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Magallanes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Santiago Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
4
Magallanes
26
12
7
7
42:38
4
43
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.84%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
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Martinez B. (G) 
Felipe S. 
Navarro L. (C) 
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